Global stock markets plunged Friday as tensions between the US and China spiral out of control.
Stocks in Hong Kong and mainland China tumbled after Beijing ordered Washington to cease all operations at its consulate in the city of Chengdu. This came days after Washington ordered the Chinese consulate in Houston, Texas, to close.
Investors are becoming fearful the tit-for-tat spat between the US and China will escalate into August. Today’s equity selling in Asia, Europe, and the US is evident in derisking.
We must note, derisking has been stealthily occurring under the surface for two months. While President Trump and Barstool Sports’ Dave Portnoy pump stocks, the smart money has been quickly dumping US-listed firms that do business in China because of increasing tensions.
Fathom’s proprietary China Exposure Index (CEI) tracks US-listed firms that have 15% and 85% of their revenues from China. The CEI shows investors have been dumping these companies since the start of June.
Readers may recall, a plunging CEI in early February preceded the stock market crash that started later in the month.
So the question we ask today: Is today’s CEI plunge hinting the stock market is set to tank again?